Sunday, April 5, 2015

Waste of time and money looking at the wrong place

Dailymail.uk

Fresh testimonies from a small island community in the Maldives has reignited reports that missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 could have crashed over 5000 kilometres away from the official search led by Australian authorities.
Locals from the island of Kudahuvadhoo, located in the southern area of the Dhaalu Atoll in the Maldives, reported witnessing 'a low-flying jumbo jet' on the morning of March 8 last year, when the flight disappeared while travelling from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing with 239 people on board.
The reports come as acoustic scientists from Curtin University refuse to rule out the possibility that 'distinctive' data they recorded from the area at the assumed time of the crash may have come from the impact of the aircraft as it hit the Indian Ocean. 
Locals from the island of Kudahuvadhoo in the Maldives reported witnessing 'a low-flying jumbo jet' on the morning of March 8 last year when MH370 disappeared
Locals from the island of Kudahuvadhoo in the Maldives reported witnessing 'a low-flying jumbo jet' on the morning of March 8 last year when MH370 disappeared
Kudahuvadhoo is located in the southern area of the Dhaalu Atoll, in the Maldives, in the Indian Ocean
Kudahuvadhoo is located in the southern area of the Dhaalu Atoll, in the Maldives, in the Indian Ocean

Despite an exhaustive search that is underway along a 600 square kilometre arc approximately 1800 kilometres southwest of Perth, locals from the island believe they identified red and blue markings, similar to those of the missing plane, on a large passenger jet which flew over the island on the morning of the MH370's disappearance, reported The Weekend Australian
Villagers from the community of 3500 claim that many on the island saw the passenger plane, and were interviewed by police and testified with signed statements to what they witnessed.
'I'm very sure of what I saw on a very clear and bright day, and what I saw was not normal- the plane was very big, and low. I did not know until later that other people saw it too. I don't know if it's the Malaysia plane', said Ahmed Shiyaam, 34, an IT manager.
Abdu Rasheed Ibrahim said he saw the plane flying towards him over the water, and did not know at the time that it could be the missing Malaysian Airlines flight.
'I didn't know that a plane was missing. I went straight home and told my wife about it. I told my family, "I saw this strange plane". This is the biggest plane I have ever seen from this island...I have seen pictures of the missing plane- I believe I saw the plane...I strongly felt those people who were searching should come here,' Mr Ibrahim said.
The Maldvies National Defence Force released a statement in March last year which denied that there had been any aircrafts in the area at the time of the disappearance, which locals have branded as an attempt to hide the limitations of their radar facilities.  
A local media outlet reported that witnesses claimed the plane was travelling north to southeast, and that the plane was travelling so low it's doors could be seen. 
'I've never seen a jet flying so low over our island before. We've seen seaplanes, but I'm sure that this was not one of those. I could even make out the doors on the plane clearly,' an eyewitness told the website.
Malaysian Airlines flight MH370 disappeared while travelling from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing with 239 people on board
Malaysian Airlines flight MH370 disappeared while travelling from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing with 239 people on board
The search for the missing plane has been headed up by the Joint Agency Co-ordination Centre 
The search for the missing plane has been headed up by the Joint Agency Co-ordination Centre 
The search has focused on 60,000 square kilometres of deep ocean off the coast of Western Australia
The search has focused on 60,000 square kilometres of deep ocean off the coast of Western Australia

'It's not just me either, several other residents have reported seeing the exact same thing. Some people got out of their houses to see what was causing the tremendous noise too.' 
The plane dropped off the civilian radar after its transponder and other equipment were switched off shortly after takeoff from Kuala Lumpur. It was then tracked by Malaysia’s military radar heading towards the Indian Ocean. 
Over the past year, the search for the missing plane by the Joint Agency Co-ordination Centre, headed by Australia, has focused on 60,000 square kilometres of deep ocean off the coast of Western Australia.
The location of the search was primarily calculated by sophisticated satellite technology which recorded 'pings' or 'electronic handshakes' sent between MH370 and a satellite for the final hours of it's journey.
The flight made a number of unexplained deviations, and flew for several hours in radio silence after it lost contact with Air Traffic Control while flying between Malaysia and Vietnam. 
As of early March 40 per cent of the area had been scrutinised, but there have been no sightings of debris on the surface or any clues that the aircraft is lying on the sea bed in region covered so far.  
'Based on all available data as well as circumstances ... survivability in the defined area is highly unlikely. It is therefore with the heaviest heart and deepest sorrow that we officially declare Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 an accident,' said Malaysia's civil aviation chief, Azharuddin Abdul Rahman.  
Malaysia's civil aviation chief, Azharuddin Abdul Rahman declared the crash an accident
Malaysia's civil aviation chief, Azharuddin Abdul Rahman declared the crash an accident

Dr Alec Duncan (left) from Curtin University's Centre for Marine Science and Technology began investigating a low-frequency underwater sound signal
The signal was recorded west of Rottnest Island using acoustic recorders (above) at 1:30 am on March 8
The signal was recorded west of Rottnest Island using acoustic recorders (above) at 1:30 am on March 8
The reports from Kudahuvadhoo follow information released from Curtin University that a 'clear acoustic signal' was recorded at a time reasonably consistent with the timeline of the plane's disappearance.
Dr Alec Duncan and his associates from the university's Centre for Marine Science and Technology began investigating a low-frequency underwater sound signal which was recorded west of Rottnest Island just after 1:30 am UTC on March 8.
The Centre, along with United Nations’ Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organisation (CTBTO) and Geoscience Australia were involved in investigating data that might prove helpful to the search, and originally determined that the noise's source was close to the Maldives and Kudahuvadhoo.
'Data from one of the IMOS (Integrated Marine Observing System) recorders showed a clear acoustic signal at a time that was reasonably consistent with other information relating to the disappearance of MH370,' Dr Duncan said in a statement released by Curtin University.
An Indian sand artist created a message of prayer for the missing crew and passengers of the flight
An Indian sand artist created a message of prayer for the missing crew and passengers of the flight
Relatives of the missing passengers of flight MH370 visit a temple in China to pray for their family members
Relatives of the missing passengers of flight MH370 visit a temple in China to pray for their family members
Relatives of passengers of the flight are told the news that MH370 plunged into the sea on March 24, 2014
Relatives of passengers of the flight are told the news that MH370 plunged into the sea on March 24, 2014
'The crash of a large aircraft in the ocean would be a high energy event and expected to generate intense underwater sounds.'
Dr Duncan said that the noise may have been due to a geological event, including a small earth tremor, but the timing piqued the interest of his research team.
'It would be more correct to say that our team has identified an approximate possible location for the origin of a noise that is probably of geological origin, but cannot be ruled out as being connected with the loss of MH370,' he told The Weekend Australian
In early March, Malaysia's transport minister, Liow Tiong Lai, said that data will be re-examined and a new plan formulated if the plane is not found by the end of May.  

TIMELINE OF THE MH370 INVESTIGATION: SEARCHES, DEBRIS AND THEORIES

It is one year since Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 went missing. Here is a timeline of the main events over the last 12 months.
2014
  • March 8 - The Malaysian Airlines Boeing 777 takes off from Kuala Lumpur at 12.41am local time bound for Beijing, carrying 227 passengers and 12 crew. The plane is last seen on military radar at 2.14am, heading west over the Strait of Malacca. Half an hour later the airline reveals to the public that it has lost contact with the plane. The plane was due to land at around 6.30am.
  • March 10 - Vietnamese aircraft search for a plane door spotted in their waters but find nothing. A day later the hunt is widened to cover a 115-nautical mile radius involving 34 aircraft and 40 ships from several countries.
  • March 13 - Malaysian authorities expand their search for the missing jet into the Andaman Sea and beyond after acknowledging it could have flown for several more hours after its last contact with the ground.
  • March 15 - Malaysian prime minister Najib Razak says the missing airliner was deliberately diverted and continued flying for more than six hours after losing contact with the ground.
  • March 8 to April 24 - The search area covers the South China Sea, the Straits of Malacca, the Andaman Sea and the southern Indian Ocean. 
  • April 24 - The search and rescue phase becomes a search and recovery phase, with it moving a few days later to an underwater phase using an autonomous underwater vehicle and a bathymetry survey covering an area around 430 miles (692km) long and 50 miles (80km) wide. 
  • June 2014 - Australian authorities issue a preliminary report in which they theorise that MH370's crew became incapacitated, possibly due to oxygen starvation, with the plane continuing on autopilot. 
  • August 28 - Australia's deputy prime minister, Warren Truss, says the aircraft 'might have turned south a little earlier than we have previously expected'.
  • September 19 - After a four-month lull, it is announced that the underwater search, involving depths of up to 3.7 miles (6km), would resume at the end of September.
  • October 2014 - The new underwater search involves ships dragging sonar devices called towfish through the water about 330ft (100m) above the seabed to hunt for wreckage. The towfish are equipped with jet fuel sensors and can transmit data to those on board the vessels. 
2015
  • January - Senior Boeing 777 captain Simon Hardy suggests the missing aircraft's final resting place is in the Indian Ocean just outside the far south-western edge of the core search area.
  • January 28 - Malaysia's Department of Civil Aviation (DCA) officially declares the incident 'an accident'. The DCA says it had concluded the aircraft exhausted its fuel 'over a defined area of the southern Indian Ocean'. The DCA adds that efforts to find the plane will continue.
  • March 7 - Malaysia's transport minister, Liow Tiong Lai, says data will be re-examined and a new plan formulated if the plane is not found by the end of May.

5 comments:

flyer168 said...

"Waste of time and money looking at the wrong place"

Dian,

Yes indeed.

Just to share this...

(Reuters) - The hunt for missing Malaysian Airlines Flight MH370 is on track to cost hundreds of millions of dollars, becoming the most expensive search in aviation history with 26 countries contributing planes, ships, submarines and satellites to the international effort.

A month into the search for the jet, estimates compiled by Reuters show that at least $44 million has already been spent on the deployment of military ships and aircraft in the Indian Ocean and South China Sea by Australia, China, the United States and Vietnam. The figure is based on defense force statistics on available hourly costs of various assets, estimates by defense analysts and costs reported by the Pentagon.

The figure for the first month of the search is already about equal to the official 32 million euros ($44 million) spent in searches lasting several months spread over a two-year time frame for Air France's Flight AF447, which crashed into the Mid-Atlantic in 2009...

The $44 million estimate for MH370 does not cover all the defense assets being used by countries including Britain, France, New Zealand and South Korea, nor numerous other costs such as civilian aircraft, accommodation for hundreds of personnel and expenses for intelligence analysts worldwide...

"It's a lot of money," he said.

Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott, whose country is leading the search...

Still, Abbott has hinted that Australia, which has so far borne the brunt of the expense as the search homes in on the southern Indian Ocean off its western coast, "may at some point be sending out invoices".

"It's only reasonable that we should bear this cost - it's an act of international citizenship," Abbott said last week.

"At some point, there might need to be a reckoning, there might need to be some kind of tallying, but nevertheless we are happy to be as helpful as we can to all the countries that have a stake in this."

A Malaysian government source, who declined to be identified as he was not authorized to speak to the media, said the entire search and recovery for MH370 "could be at least double the money spent to recover the black box from Air France's AF447."

Australia has so far contributed around half of the cost, with ships and aircraft on duty for some three weeks. Its HMAS Success alone costs around A$550,000 ($511,000) a day to operate, according to Australian Defence Force, or ADF, figures.

"The search effort for MH370 is costing the ADF at least A$800,000 per day and possibly considerably more than that," said Kym Bergmann, editor of Asia-Pacific Defence Reporter and a former government defence adviser.

"While that might not sound like much compared with the ADF's annual sustainment budget of A$5 billion, if this continues for much longer other activities such as 'Operation Sovereign Borders' will be under pressure to find savings," he added, referring to the federal government's policy of turning back asylum seeker boats that approach from Indonesia...

China, which was home to the majority of the 227 passengers on board the missing plane, has sent a total of 18 ships, eight helicopters and three fixed-wing aircraft to various search areas during the month-long hunt.

Beijing has declined to comment on how much it is spending on looking for the aircraft, saying only it is dedicated to keep searching "as long as there is a shred of hope..."

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/04/08/us-malaysia-airlines-costs-idUSBREA3709520140408

You be the judge.

flyer168 said...

"Waste of time and money looking at the wrong place"

Dian

Also to share this...

Fundamental law of airliner search strategy: History repeats in different cycles.

History shows indeed this question is not an uncommon case since 1948! History also says our chances for a successful recovery here are remote.

Yet, given the successful recovery of Air France 447 back in 2009 from the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of Brazil, we do have significant patterns of human factor errors inside that Airbus A330-200 airliner cockpit (naturally under different circumstances and cycles) from which to speculate properly about what may have happened to MH370 (under equally extraordinary circumstances and cycles).

This is why I find the chart below equally as compelling, with historical data and information in which many should examine and take pause to contemplate just how challenging the MH370 mystery is in relation to the AF447 mystery, which was eventually solved.

Disappearances of Large Airliners Since 1948

Photo Credit: Bloomberg Visual Data

Both of these enormous aviation safety mishaps share a common question: How could a Boeing 777-200 or Airbus 330 airliner simply vanish or fall out of the sky?

Air France 447 vanished in the Atlantic Ocean back in 2009. Within days floating debris was found and recovered. However, it took investigators more than two years to locate the wreckage and ‘black-box’ of the missing Air France 447 airliner off the coast of Brazil in the Atlantic Ocean.

Each day a lost airliner rests at the bottom of the deep seas, be it the mid-Atlantic Ocean or the southern Indian Ocean, such harsh oceanic conditions makes the airliner search extremely difficult...

"The big difference between Air France 447 and MH370 is that the last known position, in terms of MH370, is at the top of the Malacca Straits, and then the aircraft continued to fly for an extended period after that," Houston told CNN's Anna Coren on May 12, 2014.

"Whereas [in the case of] Air France [447], they had a very good last known position, which then turned out to be very close to where the aircraft was eventually found..."

Finding no trace of MH370, a month later, international investigation teams turned to the vast mountainous, voluminous, and remote Indian Ocean. Recovering not a single piece of debris from MH370, missing so far going into a third month, safety investigators suddenly have decided to start over the search to resume in August.

The search teams deployed have been truly international in scope with Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Maldives, Nepal, New Zealand, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, England, and United States, all providing maximum search and investigation resources and assets.

The search for Malaysia Flight 370 and its possible recovery has moved from the South China Sea and Straits of Malacca to the northern and southern ocean corridors, engaging as many as 21 satellites. The world’s largest deployment of assets comprised: 18 ships, 29 aircraft, and 6 ship-borne helicopters, altogether deployed between the northern and southern ocean corridors along the last Inmarsat satellite communicated partial handshake 00:19 arc. About 11 aircraft, 12 ships, and even an underwater robotic submarine, have now hunted tens of thousands of square kilometers of the southern Indian Ocean floor, until the search was stalled this week to regroup until August...'

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/20140602035328-90103575-five-year-anniversary-of-af447-mh370-d%C3%A9j%C3%A0-vu

What can we expect from our "Clueless" Ministers, MAS & DCA chiefs in Malaysia as the World had witnessed in the handling of MH379 & MH17...!

As compared to the efficiency of the Singapore authorities (SQ006 incident), The Indonesia Authorities (AA Indonesia incident), the French & German authorities (Germanwings incident), report within 48 hours...!!!

You be the judge.

flyer168 said...

"Waste of time and money looking at the wrong place"

Dian

Also to share this...

Fundamental law of airliner search strategy: History repeats in different cycles.

History shows indeed this question is not an uncommon case since 1948! History also says our chances for a successful recovery here are remote.

Yet, given the successful recovery of Air France 447 back in 2009 from the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of Brazil, we do have significant patterns of human factor errors inside that Airbus A330-200 airliner cockpit (naturally under different circumstances and cycles) from which to speculate properly about what may have happened to MH370 (under equally extraordinary circumstances and cycles).

This is why I find the chart below equally as compelling, with historical data and information in which many should examine and take pause to contemplate just how challenging the MH370 mystery is in relation to the AF447 mystery, which was eventually solved.

Disappearances of Large Airliners Since 1948

Photo Credit: Bloomberg Visual Data

Both of these enormous aviation safety mishaps share a common question: How could a Boeing 777-200 or Airbus 330 airliner simply vanish or fall out of the sky?

Air France 447 vanished in the Atlantic Ocean back in 2009. Within days floating debris was found and recovered. However, it took investigators more than two years to locate the wreckage and ‘black-box’ of the missing Air France 447 airliner off the coast of Brazil in the Atlantic Ocean.

Each day a lost airliner rests at the bottom of the deep seas, be it the mid-Atlantic Ocean or the southern Indian Ocean, such harsh oceanic conditions makes the airliner search extremely difficult...

"The big difference between Air France 447 and MH370 is that the last known position, in terms of MH370, is at the top of the Malacca Straits, and then the aircraft continued to fly for an extended period after that," Houston told CNN's Anna Coren on May 12, 2014.

"Whereas [in the case of] Air France [447], they had a very good last known position, which then turned out to be very close to where the aircraft was eventually found..."

Finding no trace of MH370, a month later, international investigation teams turned to the vast mountainous, voluminous, and remote Indian Ocean. Recovering not a single piece of debris from MH370, missing so far going into a third month, safety investigators suddenly have decided to start over the search to resume in August.

The search teams deployed have been truly international in scope with Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Maldives, Nepal, New Zealand, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, England, and United States, all providing maximum search and investigation resources and assets.

The search for Malaysia Flight 370 and its possible recovery has moved from the South China Sea and Straits of Malacca to the northern and southern ocean corridors, engaging as many as 21 satellites. The world’s largest deployment of assets comprised: 18 ships, 29 aircraft, and 6 ship-borne helicopters, altogether deployed between the northern and southern ocean corridors along the last Inmarsat satellite communicated partial handshake 00:19 arc. About 11 aircraft, 12 ships, and even an underwater robotic submarine, have now hunted tens of thousands of square kilometers of the southern Indian Ocean floor, until the search was stalled this week to regroup until August...'

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/20140602035328-90103575-five-year-anniversary-of-af447-mh370-d%C3%A9j%C3%A0-vu

What can we expect from our "Clueless" Ministers, MAS & DCA chiefs in Malaysia as the World had witnessed in the handling of MH379 & MH17...!

As compared to the efficiency of the Singapore authorities (SQ006 incident), The Indonesia Authorities (AA Indonesia incident), the French & German authorities (Germanwings incident), report within 48 hours...!!!

You be the judge.

flyer168 said...

"Waste of time and money looking at the wrong place"

Dian,

How about this speculation...? - http://humansarefree.com/2014/07/busted-mh-17-was-in-fact-lost-flight-mh.html

You be the judge.

flyer168 said...

"Waste of time and money looking at the wrong place"

Addendum...

Dec 10, 2008 - Operation Northwoods Exposed - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rp3P2wDKQK4
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6dNAt6lbuvQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8sG9TaziF_Q

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Northwoods

You be the judge.

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